Type 2 diabetes catalyst calendar

Forward catalysts for the next-gen T2D race - earnings, trial readouts, and regulatory decisions across Eli Lilly, Novo Nordisk, and peers, tiered by stock impact.

As of 2026-06-22. Updated as catalysts move.

Forward calendar #

Catalysts ordered by date. Tier 1 events typically move the stock; Tier 2 are high-signal scientific or earnings reads; Tier 3 are mostly priced in.

Date Sponsor Event Tier Category Note
Aug 5, 2026 Novo Nordisk Q2 2026 earnings 1 earnings Ozempic + Rybelsus volume and US GLP-1 pricing read. Same day as Lilly.
Aug 5, 2026 Eli Lilly Q2 2026 earnings 1 earnings Mounjaro share trajectory and oral orforglipron T2D commentary. Same day as Novo.
Aug 28 - Sep 1, 2026 ESC European Society of Cardiology Congress (Madrid) 2 conference Cardio-renal outcome data for SGLT2 and incretin classes - the differentiator beyond HbA1c.
H2 2026 Eli Lilly Orforglipron T2D regulatory submission 1 regulatory First oral small-molecule GLP-1 for T2D; convenience could broaden the addressable market well beyond injectables.
Q4 2026 Eli Lilly Retatrutide Phase 3 T2D (TRIUMPH) readouts 2 trial data Triple agonist glycemic + weight data in T2D; benchmark vs tirzepatide.
2026 (ongoing) Novo Nordisk CagriSema T2D registrational program 2 trial data GLP-1 + amylin combination glycemic data to support a T2D label alongside the obesity filing.